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The Betting Syndicate

Public track record

Every tip. Every result.
Audit us.

Every settled tip since the paper-trade began, at the fixed price we published on the card — broken down four ways so you can see where the edge really lives.

Last updated

16 May 2026, 11:01 pm AEST

Auto-settles within 24h of each race

Overall

-12.9%

Best Bets + Value, actual stakes
14.8% SR · -30.1u

Best Bets

-33.0%

Tiered stake per confidence
12.5% SR · -18.5u

Value tips

-6.5%

Flat 0.5u WIN
15.1% SR · -11.7u

Every tip, 1u flat

-11.8%

Dumb-money benchmark
14.8% SR · -36.8u

Four ways to read it

Which part of the card is earning its keep?

Best Bets get the suggested tiered stake. Value tips get a flat 0.5u. Overall blends the two the way a subscriber actually bets. Flat-1u is the dumb-money benchmark — if Overall beats it, the staking plan is doing real work.

Overall

Best Bets + Value, actual stakes

-30.1u

Tips
392
Wins
46
Places
2
Voids
81
Walked
0

Strike rate

14.8%

ROI

-12.9%

Best Bets

Tiered stake per confidence

-18.5u

Tips
35
Wins
4
Places
2
Voids
3
Walked
0

Strike rate

12.5%

ROI

-33.0%

Value tips

Flat 0.5u WIN

-11.7u

Tips
357
Wins
42
Places
0
Voids
78
Walked
0

Strike rate

15.1%

ROI

-6.5%

Every tip, 1u flat

Dumb-money benchmark

-36.8u

Tips
392
Wins
46
Places
2
Voids
81
Walked
0

Strike rate

14.8%

ROI

-11.8%

By venue

Where we win, where we bleed.

Per-track performance on actual subscriber stakes. The split columns show how Best Bets and Value tips contributed to each track.

TrackTipsStrikeROIP&LBB · V split
Morphettville Parks1944.4%+134.2%+12.8uV 19·+12.8u
Randwick1825.0%+85.7%+9.8uBB 2·+2.4uV 16·+7.5u
Belmont Park944.4%+149.4%+6.7uV 9·+6.7u
Caulfield Heath167.7%+62.5%+5.0uV 16·+5.0u
Flemington1725.0%+48.8%+4.2uV 17·+4.2u
Hawkesbury1016.7%+28.6%+2.0uBB 2·+4.5uV 8·-2.5u
Ipswich4517.1%+0.8%+0.2uBB 7·+0.9uV 38·-0.7u
Caulfield912.5%-5.6%-0.3uV 9·-0.3u
Toowoomba720.0%-27.1%-0.9uV 7·-0.9u
Ascot5219.0%-4.4%-1.4uBB 6·-1.7uV 46·+0.3u
Newcastle70.0%-42.9%-1.5uV 7·-1.5u
Eagle Farm2711.8%-12.2%-1.8uBB 1·+2.6uV 26·-4.4u
Gold Coast912.5%-52.2%-2.4uV 9·-2.4u
Gosford1011.1%-46.2%-3.0uBB 1·-2.0uV 9·-1.0u
Pakenham816.7%-50.8%-3.0uBB 2·-3.0uV 6·-0.1u
Doomben90.0%-88.9%-4.0uV 9·-4.0u
Scone1811.8%-38.6%-4.0uBB 1·-2.0uV 17·-2.0u
Kensington90.0%-76.9%-5.0uBB 2·-3.0uV 7·-2.0u
Gawler70.0%-91.7%-5.5uBB 2·-3.5uV 5·-2.0u
Mornington1011.1%-63.9%-5.8uBB 3·-5.5uV 7·-0.3u
Pinjarra90.0%-83.3%-7.5uBB 3·-6.0uV 6·-1.5u
Bendigo200.0%-61.0%-7.6uBB 2·-0.6uV 18·-7.0u
Kembla Grange205.6%-77.0%-7.7uV 20·-7.7u
Morphettville274.5%-65.5%-9.5uBB 1·-1.5uV 26·-8.0u

Monthly performance

Month by month, unvarnished.

Up months and down months. Variance is real — long-run ROI is the number that matters.

MonthTipsWinsStrikeP&LROI
May 262172212.2%
-27.7u
-21.0%
Apr 261752418.3%
-2.5u
-2.4%

Closing line value

Were we on at a better price than the market closed?

ROI needs hundreds of bets to be statistically reliable. CLV needs ~30 — it measures whether the market shortened our pick after we tipped it. Positive CLV is the leading indicator that the engine identified real value.

Mean CLV

Avg gap between our price and the SP, as a % of our price

-29.34%

n=274 · σ=346.85%

Shortened rate

Share of bets where the market shortened our pick before the jump

37.6%

Coin-flip would be 50% — anything materially above is signal

Prob. uplift

Avg implied-probability gain (1/close − 1/placement)

-0.19 pp

Each percentage point is real edge ahead of the market

Why this matters: with a small sample (n < 200), headline ROI is just luck wearing a suit. CLV measures every bet individually against the closing market and gives a statistically meaningful read at much smaller n. We publish it so subscribers can audit the model before the win rate is fully baked. Source: PF starting price. Walked tips are excluded — if we didn't take the bet, the closing price is irrelevant.

Recent tips

The latest settled tips.

Every settled tip in reverse chronological order. Members see the full archive inside the dashboard.

16 MayBELM R9Startling StarValue8.500.5u8th-0.50u
16 MayBELM R8Western EmpireValue2.250.5uWON+0.63u
16 MayBELM R7SnitzalatteValue2.050.5u6th-0.50u
16 MayBELM R6SoldanelleValue12.000.5u5th-0.50u
16 MayBELM R5God's RaptureValue14.000.5u11th-0.50u
16 MayBELM R4XentaroValue8.000.5uWON+3.50u
16 MayBELM R3Go Go GrommetValue9.500.5uWON+4.25u
16 MayBELM R2Antique StarValue2.700.5uWON+0.85u
16 MayBELM R1Vinny NayValue3.600.5u5th-0.50u
16 MayMORP R9InvertationalValue4.800.5uWON+1.90u
16 MayMORP R8Tosen WaterValue5.000.5u7th-0.50u
16 MayMORP R7Enuff SeductionValue4.600.5u5th-0.50u
16 MayMORP R6KalmanaValue4.400.5u7th-0.50u
16 MayMORP R5Round TwoValue11.000.5u10th-0.50u
16 MayMORP R4Sparkling LuckValue3.200.5uWON+1.10u
16 MayMORP R3Brave StarValue6.500.5u3rd-0.50u
16 MayMORP R2Wine SnobValue8.500.5uWON+3.75u
16 MayMORP R1JovialeValue4.000.5u2nd-0.50u
16 MayDOOM R9SoveratoValue—0.5uVoid+0.00u
16 MayDOOM R8Another WilValue15.000.5u9th-0.50u
Want the full archive? Members get every tip since inception

A note on tracking

How we settle every tip.

  • Price used. The TAB fixed quote published on the card at time of send — we record it the moment the tip goes out, so there's no rewriting history. Settlement falls back to PF starting price only if the publish-time price wasn't captured.
  • Stakes. Best Bets use a tiered plan (2u WIN ≤$3.50, 1.5u WIN ≤$6, 1u each-way ≤$12, 0.75u each-way above). Value tips are flat 0.5u WIN. Flat-1u is the benchmark — 1 unit on every tip regardless of confidence.
  • Scratchings. Late scratchings are marked void and excluded from the strike-rate denominator. No refund adjustment beyond the stake.
  • Source of truth. Official Punting Form / Racing Australia results, pulled within 24h of each meeting by the settlement cron.
Read the full methodology